Bradley edged George Mason 62-61 at McArthur Center.
Bethesda, Maryland, native Xander Alarie led Bradley with 17 points. Brayden O'Connor had 14 points for George Mason. Emmanuel Kanga led all players with 13 rebounds for George Mason.
Bradley had 9 3-pointers to George Mason's 4. Bradley covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 10.1 points.
In the NBA, former Bradley player Malevy Leons had 5 points for the Warriors the night before.
Bradley vs. George Mason prediction: model has George Mason by 9
Bradley (2-2) and George Mason meet at McArthur Center Saturday at 1 PM ET on YouTube.
Our model makes George Mason a 9.1-point favorite, projecting a 66-57 final, and gives George Mason a 78% chance to win. The betting market has George Mason favored by 12.5 with a total of 130. The model leans Bradley +12.5 and Under 130.
Players to watch: Josh Ibukunoluwa of Bradley, 9.9 points a game; Ben Thornbrue of Bradley, 9.6 points a game; Xander Alarie of Bradley, 6.9 points a game.
Bradley is on one day of rest and is playing its third straight road game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
GMU 66, BRAD 56model score
+9.1model spread (home)
122.1model total
10.1points off the final margin
UnderdogBRAD +11.52.4WonUnder 130.58.4Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-10.0
130.0
our snapshots
Latest
-6.5
128.5
-310
225
our snapshots (6 books)
Close
+11.5
130.5
600
-900
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin +1 (home)ATS BRAD coveredTotal 123 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
GMU
non-MAC team, not tracked
BRAD
1
0
3
+1 h
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
