Le Moyne Dolphins
Away · model win chance 45%
73
Home · model win chance 55%
75
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $14 · Ford Center, Evansville, IN · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ET
Le Moyne Dolphins 7345% to win Evansville Purple Aces 7555% to win
EVAN -1.5model spread
147.9model total
70possessions

No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

LEMEVAN
Net rating-9.9 #284-13.3 #315
Offense99.2 #29199.9 #279
Defense109.2 #248113.2 #312
Tempo71.8 #9069.0 #267
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Le Moyne Dolphinsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Evansville Purple Aces20same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.