Chicago State Cougars
Away · model win chance 9%
64
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $15
· Credit Union 1 Arena, Chicago, IL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETUIC -16.3model spread
143.7model total
66possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Mekhi Lowery UIC · G
+5.0#7 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Lucas Scroggins UIC · F
+3.3#6 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Rashund Washington Jr. UIC · G
+3.2#11 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| CHST | UIC | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -15.8 #338 | +3.3 #126 |
| Offense | 100.2 #275 | 107.8 #138 |
| Defense | 116.1 #340 | 104.5 #143 |
| Tempo | 68.2 #299 | 68.4 #288 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago State Cougars | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| UIC Flames | 4 | 1,838 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.