NC State Wolfpack
Neutral · model win chance 63%
83
Preview · Thu 11/19, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: CBSSN
· Baha Mar Convention Center, Nassau, Bahamas
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETNCSU -4.0model spread
162.4model total
75possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Brigham Rogers MUR · F
+9.9#1 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Brayden Shorter MUR · G
+3.3#5 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Roman Domon MUR · G
+2.5#19 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| NCSU | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +18.8 #40 | +13.4 #67 |
| Offense | 118.2 #30 | 112.2 #76 |
| Defense | 99.3 #60 | 98.7 #55 |
| Tempo | 70.0 #213 | 75.3 #9 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Murray State Racers | 1 short | 1,175 | +1 h |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.