Pacific Tigers
Home · model win chance 79%
66
Preview · Sat 11/21
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $64
· Alex G. Spanos Center, Stockton, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETPAC -9.7model spread
121.4model total
65possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Josh Ibukunoluwa BRAD · F
+5.9#4 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Trevon Payton BRAD · G
-0.0#66 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Xander Alarie BRAD · F
+6.4#2 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BRAD | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -3.5 #195 | +6.1 #99 |
| Offense | 97.0 #314 | 104.1 #210 |
| Defense | 100.5 #74 | 98.0 #49 |
| Tempo | 67.5 #331 | 67.6 #327 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Braves | 1 short | 1,696 | -2 h |
| Pacific Tigers | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.