UT Martin Skyhawks
Neutral · model win chance 48%
71
Neutral · model win chance 52%
72
Preview · Fri 11/20, 5:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin Islands · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ET
UT Martin Skyhawks 7148% to win Southern Illinois Salukis 7252% to win
SIU -0.8model spread
142.2model total
69possessions

No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UTMSIU
Net rating+1.5 #141+2.6 #135
Offense104.0 #212107.4 #149
Defense102.6 #109104.8 #150
Tempo68.5 #28770.6 #172
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UT Martin Skyhawksnon-MAC team, not tracked
Southern Illinois Salukis20same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.