Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Neutral · model win chance 69%
75
Preview · Fri 11/20, 3 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin Islands
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETSFA -6.1model spread
144.8model total
68possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Alessio Calamita INST · F
+1.7#35 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Jackson Cooper INST · F
+0.3#57 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Chance Puryear INST · G
+0.9#45 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| INST | SFA | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.0 #228 | +2.9 #133 |
| Offense | 102.6 #237 | 108.0 #135 |
| Defense | 108.6 #238 | 105.1 #159 |
| Tempo | 70.6 #173 | 67.9 #313 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana State Sycamores | 5 | 0 | same |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.